Monday, November 4, 2024

Hurricane Rafael (2024)

Storm Active: November 4-

Around the beginning of November, a broad area of low pressure formed in the southwestern Caribbean, a typical occurrence for that time of year. The disturbance gradually consolidated over the following few days and a closed center appeared on satellite imagery on November 3. On the 4th, enough convection had developed near the center for the system to be designated Tropical Depression Eighteen. Favorable conditions allowed it to strengthen into Tropical Storm Rafael later the same day.

Rafael turned northwest and passed just west of Jamaica during the morning of November 5. Steady intensification continued as the storm's organization increased, but it was kept in check by some dry air entering the circulation from the north. That night, Rafael managed to build a more complete eyewall and strengthen more rapidly. It reached hurricane status while passing the Cayman Islands. An eye cleared out occasionally on satellite the next morning, and Rafael peaked as a major hurricane early in the afternoon with winds of 115 mph and a central pressure of 956 mb. Very soon after, the hurricane made landfall in western Cuba.

As of 7:00pm EST on November 6, 2024, Hurricane Rafael had maximum sustained winds of 105 mph, a central pressure of 962 mb, and was moving northwest at 14 mph. For more up-to-date information and the latest watches and warnings, please consult the National Hurricane Center.

Saturday, November 2, 2024

Tropical Storm Patty (2024)

Storm Active: November 1-4

Near the end of October, shower and thunderstorm activity began to concentrate near the center of a non-tropical low pressure system located over the open subtropical Atlantic. The system moved eastward and separated from the surrounding frontal boundaries. By November 1, it had the characteristics of a subtropical cyclone. Since it was already producing gale-force winds, it was named Subtropical Storm Patty. Patty had a small core where vertical instability supported some deep convection, but the entire cyclone was embedded in a cold air mass, contributing to the "subtropical" designation.

The system strengthened a little and veered south of east, reaching peak sustained winds of 65 mph. On November 2, the storm reached the Azores, passing just south of the western islands before turning east and directly over the eastern islands the following day. Wind shear over the storm increased on November 3 and Patty's strength gradually diminished as it finished its passage over the Azores. Rather unexpectedly, the cyclone transitioned into a fully tropical storm that night. The overall trends did not change, though. Progressively chillier water and high shear snuffed out Patty's remaining thunderstorm activity and it dissipated on November 4. By that time, the system was not far from western Europe; what was left of it brought some rain to Spain and Portugal soon after.



The image above shows Patty as a small subtropical storm on November 2.



Patty brought tropical storm conditions to portions of the Azores.